East Tenn. St.
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,088  Victoria Hutchens SR 21:38
1,340  Katie Hirko SR 21:53
1,590  Macy Carrier JR 22:08
2,092  Kaitlyn Lay FR 22:39
2,505  Nicki Smith SO 23:10
2,634  Adrienne Hutchens FR 23:24
2,806  Kylie Rutherford JR 23:44
3,197  Keegan Van Wert FR 24:53
3,214  Mia DePillo FR 24:57
National Rank #236 of 344
South Region Rank #29 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Victoria Hutchens Katie Hirko Macy Carrier Kaitlyn Lay Nicki Smith Adrienne Hutchens Kylie Rutherford Keegan Van Wert Mia DePillo
Virginia Tech Alumni Invitational 09/16 1290 21:27 21:43 22:37 23:40 22:59 23:30 25:30 25:08
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 1294 21:34 21:54 22:44 23:16 24:13 24:24
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 1274 21:27 22:07 22:13 22:41 23:14 23:32 23:55 24:51 24:34
Southern Conference Championship 10/29 1260 22:05 21:47 22:13 22:37 22:34 23:42 23:41 24:24 26:22
South Region Championships 11/11 1278 21:38 21:46 22:17 22:36 23:35 23:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.4 738 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 4.9 7.5 9.4 10.3 13.6 16.6 14.7 12.4 5.6 2.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Victoria Hutchens 99.3
Katie Hirko 115.4
Macy Carrier 134.4
Kaitlyn Lay 176.4
Nicki Smith 214.2
Adrienne Hutchens 225.8
Kylie Rutherford 238.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 0.5% 0.5 20
21 1.2% 1.2 21
22 4.9% 4.9 22
23 7.5% 7.5 23
24 9.4% 9.4 24
25 10.3% 10.3 25
26 13.6% 13.6 26
27 16.6% 16.6 27
28 14.7% 14.7 28
29 12.4% 12.4 29
30 5.6% 5.6 30
31 2.2% 2.2 31
32 0.8% 0.8 32
33 0.2% 0.2 33
34 0.1% 0.1 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0